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Listen to the latest episode of the Emerald Wit & Wisdom Podcast (06/12/24)

Good morning.

In 1938, The Mercury Theatre … taking advantage of the melodious voice of Orson Welles … broadcast an adaptation of an H.G. Wells 1898 novel, titled: “War of the Worlds” in which aliens were invading the U.S.

It is now 86 years later … and many have become convinced the U.S. is once again under attack … by mysterious drones … and there are some calling for the interesting defense of just shooting them out of the sky. The problem is that most cases have been found to be aircraft … manned aircraft … and you can be sure bullets aimed skyward would certainly shock many a confused pilot (even before this ammo falls to the ground like rain).

But people have the tendency to panic … and right now there is a bit of panic in the land of investors … as such things as AI stocks … cryptocurrencies … home prices … are escaping the portfolios of many … who are only now gearing up to jump in … forgetting that these … like the alien spaceships attacking in 1938 … could rapidly crash and burn.

Okay, I am being a bit overdramatic with the last sentence … but it just seemed to go well with the story.  More on that in a moment …

Markets today are up … only slightly … in nervous anticipation of Wednesday’s Fed press conference … but almost everyone expects a slight (0.25%) rate cut as they pay close attention to what Chairman Powell has to say regarding future projections.

I mentioned the purchase of things that could be considered FOMO (“fear of missing out”) and I can’t blame the younger (and older) crowd wanting to invest in things where they can get rich quick.  I mean, if you just scan through Tik Tok and Instagram videos, there are dozens upon dozens (how gross) of postings showing how … with a few clicks of a button … you can make thousands of dollars only taking a couple of clicks and few minutes of your time.  I have to admit, I saw some this morning that made me think “hmm … maybe I’ll try that” … but that will no doubt be a topic of a future story.

What got me thinking about this even more than usual?  I just saw a Cerulli Report that there will be $46 Trillion transferred to millennials between now and 2048, in addition to $39 Trillion to those of “Generation X.”  And you can be sure there is only one goal many are interesting in regarding financial literacy … and that is to make a lot of money … risks be damned.  The easiest way to do it? I don’t know … become an influencer perhaps?  But the old-fashioned thought of investing in Blue Chips while reinvesting dividends and gaining wealth slowing might be losing its attraction.

Oh well.

It was good while it lasted.

Have a great day,

Joseph G. Witthohn, CFA

Have any questions? Please contact info@teamemerald.com

A Look At The News | December 16, 2024

As of 11:06 AM today:
“Vibesession” … a term coined by Kyla Scanlon … is when negative views on the economy don’t quite match up to reality during positive economic times.  That feeling might be over (CNBC)

https://www.cnbc.com/2024/12/16/the-vibecession-is-over-as-optimism-picks-up-reports-show.html

… with the sharp rise in home prices, the “gap” in net worth between homeowners and renters substantially widened. The reason? Each home mortgage payment adds to equity (CNN)

https://www.cnn.com/2024/12/16/economy/renter-homeowner-net-worth-gap?cid=external-feeds_iluminar_flipboard

While many use “weight loss drugs” now on the market to cut back on pounds, they seem to be having a profound effect on alcohol use (RollingOut)

https://rollingout.com/2024/12/15/glp1-alcohol-consumption-study/

Is there too much panic over recent drone sightings? It seems that we are under attack … if you believe the many “eye witnesses” feeling everything in the sky is a drone (CNBC)

https://www.cnbc.com/2024/12/14/many-new-jersey-drones-sightings-are-manned-aircraft-being-misidentified-as-drones-fbi-says.html

As Delaney & Bonnie sang: “loneliness … is such a sad affair …” but it has gained much more importance in the realization of the effect loneliness has on mental health (PsyPost)

https://www.psypost.org/loneliness-is-associated-with-a-31-higher-risk-of-developing-dementia-finds-largest-study-to-date/

The 2021 collapse of a condo in South Florida brought a lot of attention to the plight of other properties along the coast … and studies show quite a few are sinking fast (Newsweek)

https://www.newsweek.com/florida-condos-sinking-unexpected-rates-2001231

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The statements above are supplied for educational purposes only. The statements depict the viewpoints and opinion of the author and are not necessarily the views of Emerald Asset Management or its affiliates. The information described herein is taken from sources which are believed to be reliable, but the accuracy and completeness of such information is not guaranteed by us.